In op-ed for Forbes, Bret Swanson of Entropy Economics (he’s also one of our Broadband Ambassadors) worries the “wireless juggernaut,” as he calls it, will soon hit a roadblock:
The U.S… seems sluggish (at best) in encouraging the next wave of growth. The government still owns around 60% of the best spectrum, leaving just around 10% for mobile operators. The U.S. lags many nations in current spectrum availability and lags almost every advanced economy in its “pipeline” of spectrum expected to become available in the near future.
Last winter Congress approved auctions to encourage over-the-air TV broadcasters to transfer underused spectrum to more valuable modern services, such as mobile data networks. But in the best of circumstances, these auctions will take years. And even assuming the auctions are successful, the U.S. pipeline will still lag.
If, on top of these shortcomings, you add an effective government halt to any secondary market spectrum transactions, you have real paralysis.
Swanson’s full op-ed is worth checking out.